Peramalan Kejahatan Menggunakan Holt’s Double Exponential Smoothing
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Short-term electricity demand forecasting using double seasonal exponential smoothing
This paper considers univariate online electricity demand forecasting for lead times from a half-hour-ahead to a day-ahead. A time series of demand recorded at half-hourly intervals contains more than one seasonal pattern. A within-day seasonal cycle is apparent from the similarity of the demand profile from one day to the next, and a within-week seasonal cycle is evident when one compares the ...
متن کاملH-WEMA: A New Approach of Double Exponential Smoothing Method
A popular smoothing technique commonly used in time series analysis is double exponential smoothing. Basically, it’s an improvement of simple exponential smoothing which does the exponential filter process twice. Many researchers had developed the technique, hence Brown’s double exponential smoothing and Holt’s double exponential smoothing. Here, we introduce a new approach of double exponentia...
متن کاملSmooth Transition Exponential Smoothing
Adaptive exponential smoothing methods allow a smoothing parameter to change over time, in order to adapt to changes in the characteristics of the time series. However, these methods have tended to produce unstable forecasts and have performed poorly in empirical studies. This paper presents a new adaptive method, which enables a smoothing parameter to be modelled as a logistic function of a us...
متن کاملExponential Smoothing Mod
Applications of exponential smoothing to forecast time series usually rely on three basic methods: simple exponential smoothing, trend corrected exponential smoothing and a seasonal variation thereof. A common approach to select the method appropriate to a particular time series is based on prediction validation on a withheld part of the sample using criteria such as the mean absolute percentag...
متن کاملImage Smoothing with Exponential Functions
Noise reduction in images, also known as image smoothing, is an essential and rst step before further processings are done on the image. The key to image smoothing is to preserve important features while removing noise from the image. Gaussian function is widely used in image smoothing. Recently it has been reported that exponential functions (value of the exponent is not equal to 2) perform su...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Sainteks
سال: 2020
ISSN: 2686-0546,0852-1468
DOI: 10.30595/sainteks.v16i2.7129